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March 2003 Archives

March 1, 2003

Soloist: Shaw Pong Liu

I really enjoyed Friday (2/28/03) night's performance by the UC Symphony Orchestra and especially Shaw Pong Liu's debut as a soloist. I usually like going to the Hertz Music Hall to hear what the University Orchestra has in store. You just can't beat a two dollar admission to be bathed in music. Usually, I can only get two donuts on a fare like that. On a lucky night, the man at Happy Donuts will throw in an extra, a few donut holes; or if you're really lucky, a day-old mystery donut. Mmmm....

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March 5, 2003

Supply Siders

Ok, this one's really just for the archives, but if you'd like to read a clear piece of analysis, a breakdown of economic players and teams during the Reagon era, and why people can say conflicting things about Reagonomics and all be right in one way or another then feel free to read on.

The Real Supply Siders: From Brad DeLong's Webjournal

John Quiggen succumbs to High Relativism, and proclaims that whether Ronald Reagan was "convinced" that cutting tax rates would raise tax revenues is unknowable.

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Pledge of Allegiance

I was reading about the history of the Pledge. I agree with the ninth circuit court that the phrase "under God" should be taken out. Eventhough Francis Bellamy, the creator of the Pledge, was a Baptist minister, his daughter felt that he would've resented its inclusion. From news accounts I've heard, it seems that "under God" was added to attack the "Godless" Communists. I think that's intrinsically in conflict with the spirit of "justice" and "liberty". You should be able to believe in Communism if you choose to in this country. In any case Bellamy was a Socialist, a few hops and skips from being a Communist. Bellamy's aim as he composed the Pledge according to this website was to write a short historical and nationalistic communion:

It began as an intensive communing with salient points of our national history, from the Declaration of Independence onwards; with the makings of the Constitution...with the meaning of the Civil War; with the aspiration of the people...

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March 6, 2003

a Sun a Dog and a Rat in Berkeley

I feel hot, in Berkeley, in March. It's been amazingly sunny and pleasant here lately. Outside, the shadows are deep and sharp and the colors have their contrast turned up a few notches.

Happily walking to campus today, to toss the frisbee with Shaw Pong, I ran into this odd pair along Telegraph Avenue.

It goes to show that nothing is alien when you live here.

How can you not like this place?

Berkeley Dog and Rat.JPG

March 7, 2003

Increasing Marginal Cost on Spam (the mail, not the meat)

Lee Tien of the Electronic Frontier Foundation and of the PUB (our local hangout) posed a challenge to me after I asked him for an un-paid internship at EFF. The challenge is to think of a way to increase marginal costs on people who sent spam emails. Here's the situation: since there is no marginal cost to sending spam (each additional email they send out doesn't cost them anything in terms of cash or time), they would overwhelm the carrying capacity of the internet, slowing down legitimate information exchange by crowding the internet with psuedo viagra ads and pathetic porn come-ons (I mean, can't they at least be funny or creative?). Recently, AOL said they had to filter A BILLION pieces of spam in a single day!

Spam is a tough problem to solve. Some have suggested government involvement by legislating spam. A recent proposal in California would require spammers to put "ADV:" in the subject field of all email advertisements. Another solution is to have people use spam filters at the receiving end to sort out the junk. There is a major problem with these two solutions. Basically, it doesn't solve the "crowding out the network" problem related to spam's zero marginal cost.

My idea is simple. It includes a tiny bit of consumer activism and a centrally located database. Recipients of what they consider to be spam would forward messages to this database. The database would use a Bayesian filter to decide whether the message being forwarded was indeed spam or legitimate mail. At the centrally located database, volunteers would feed the system samples of legitimate mail and samples of spam mail to build up the initial confidence levels of the Bayesian filter. For more information on Bayesian filters, see Arnold Kling's recent explanation.

The system would also weight the number of messages originating from any particular email address. If the filter decides that the messages are indeed spam and enough recipients forward the message to statistically reject the null hypothesis (null: not spam), the system will publicize the email address as a "spammer". Now, this database would not deal with enforcement. It would simply be a database of spammer email addresses. It would be up to individual ISPs to enforce spammers. It would work because the cost of spamming and crowding the networks affects ISPs directly and they have the incentive to enforce. So in effect, you have a centrally located database that ISPs would use to displace spammers. There are three major advantages to such a system:

1. The more spam mail you send out, the more likely you'll get on the spammers list, thus increasing the marginal cost to each additional piece of spam email you send out. Caveat: consumers bear some reporting cost that is balanced by the reduction of Spam in their mailbox. It will take time to see if that cost/benefit creates a workable system.

2. Bayesian filtering and recipient reporting reduces the dictatorial nature of the current MAPS system. It replaces a autocratic system with a democratic one. It also gets the government out of the process (which many people would view as a good thing).

3. The system of enforcement would be robust and distributed. It would be in the interest of each ISP to remove people on the "spammers list" and therefore the costs and benefits are well assigned. ISPs cleaning up spammers is analagous to restaurants cleaning up after the dirty customers, it's a cost that they should be willing to shoulder.

Okay, there's a fourth important point:

4. If a non-profit, like the EFF created and maintained the system. It would add some balance to the electronic battle between the dark forces of Industry vs. the naive Consumer.

Now the harder problem... how do I go about getting that un-paid internship?

March 17, 2003

End of Diplomacy

It looks like Bush is giving up on diplomacy. A Halliburton subsidiary has already gained contracts for rebuilding Iraq and putting out the fires that will be started on Iraqi oil fields. When we see the horror of war, Cheney's buddies will only see how much tax dollars will be paid to them for the destruction that's about to be unleashed.

I grew up thinking how politicians are paid to conduct diplomacy; to avoid war at all costs. But once elected officials gain power, they can do whatever they want it seems. Just to enforce that idea, here's an email I received today:

Excepts of an interview of Herman Goering while in prison during the Nuremberg Trials in April 1946. From the records of his interviewer, psychologist Gustave Gilbert:

Goering: "Of course the people do not want war.....but after all, it is the leaders of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy or a fascist dictatorship or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship.

Gilbert: "There is one difference," I pointed out. "In a democracy the people have some say in the matter through their elected representatives, and in the United States only Congress can declare wars."

Goering: "That is all well and good; but voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked, and denounce the pacifists for lack of patriotism, and exposing the country to greater danger. It works the same way in any country."

Standing Alone

If the Iraq war is put to a vote, the citizens of Spain, UK, and Australia would reject it. The only country where it might pass is the U.S. and that's only because Bush has been lying to us about Iraq's association with Al Qaeda and lying about how Iraq was trying to acquire nuclear weapons from Niger.

We have a misled public supporting this war and a coalition of the very unwilling. The Canadian government told their public their non-participation in this war to a standing ovation. Same thing happened in the UK when Robin Cook, the leader of the Commons and former foreign secretary, resigned in protest. Our staunchest allies have populations that are overwhelmingly opposed to this war.

What's this about representing and spreading Democracy?

March 18, 2003

Lying Son of a...

A comment from DeLong's website that I thought needed airing:

Consider the lie that Bush said to the American people in his press conference

"BUSH: And yes, we'll call for a vote.

QUESTION: No matter what?

BUSH: No matter what the whip count is, we're calling for the vote. We want to see people stand up and say what their opinion is about Saddam Hussein and the utility of the United Nations Security Council. And so, you bet. It's time for people to show their cards, let the world know where they stand when it comes to Saddam."

No one addresses this issue. God forbid he fool around with some woman and then lie about it, then the media would... Oh never mind, he is conservative. The media would still do nothing.

Posted by Dan at March 18, 2003 02:38 PM

March 19, 2003

Who's Your Buddy?

Our new buddies:

Afghanistan, Albania, Australia, Azerbaijan, Bulgaria, Colombia, the Czech Republic, Denmark, El Salvador, Eritrea, Estonia, Ethiopia, Georgia, Hungary, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia, the Netherlands, Nicaragua, the Philippines, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Spain, Turkey, the United Kingdom and Uzbekistan.

The State Department listed Japan as available for "post-conflict" support.

I'm glad we've got those Uzbekistanis. Whew!

March 21, 2003

Early Morning Business News

On a lighter side... Some of you may know this about me already.

I usually stay up pretty late. I like listening and watching the news. Because of these two characteristics, I made an important discovery. Around 3am, you can catch Julia Caesar on ABC news here in the Bay Area. She reports on financial news and for obvious reasons (if you've watched), her reports make you smile. I get happy, silly happy that someone can be so entertained, and entertaining, when reporting on the FTSE index. Okay, that's my confession of the night. Now only if her website included a weblog. Hey, Julia, let me know if you ever want to join Evolving Type!

Now back to ABC news...

Stupid Tax Cuts

I am fed up. Allow me to bang my own head against the wall.

Who cuts taxes when fighting a war? Who cuts taxes by $726 billion over 10-year period while fighting a war, facing huge deficits, and tries to claim job-creation and trickle down-frickin'-lame-ass-economics as the rationale? Who argues that long-term fiscal expansion would solve a short-term recession? Who would slash aid to the states so the richest Americans can have their tax cut while schools lay off teachers? Who tries to solve a demand for investment problem with a supply solution? What kind of costs and benefits do our leaders in Congress and the White House consider? If this recently-passed-the-house-$2.2 trillion-budget isn't an example of a utterly corrupt political system, then what is?

I think the 2004 election slogan should be "It's the tax cuts ya stupid mother #@$@#$ morons!"

March 27, 2003

Baja California Adventure

March 25-27th, we drove through the desert of Baja California in a Dodge. It was great.
bajavan.jpg
Here's the Dodge and Brett between Ensenada and San Felipe.

bajasunrise.jpg
One of the more memorable moments was watching the sun rise on San Felipe. Here's a short video stitched from pictures taken between 5:13 and 5:46am. (Click on the picture to see the 2mb mpeg)

Baja-DJDriving.jpg Baja-DriveThruInsurance.jpg
DJ driving. Don't forget to go to the Drive-Thru insurance at the border.

Baja-BrettinVan.jpg Baja-DJinVan.jpg
You don't need a hotel when you have the Van. You don't need showers either.

Baja-BrettCoconut.jpg Baja-SpringBreakers.jpg
Brett having a coconut. Where's Brett? Spot him in the SpringBreakers.

Baja-SanFelipeBeach.jpg Baja-FeelingPhotons.jpg
Walking along the beaches in San Felipe. DJ watching the sun rise with Tara, Sarah and Reesa (or two of those three).

Baja-AdobeHouse.jpg Baja-AdobeDog.jpg
Stopped at a roof-less adobe building to have a Carta Blanca during our drive from San Felipe to Mexicali. Strangest thing we saw on the trip: half a dog built into the adobe building. Yeah, we looked... only half a dog.

Great trip. Enjoyed talking to Raul, the owner of a taqueria. Gabriel in Rosarita wouldn't shut up and we couldn't understand him. In San Felipe, a guy asked us to hold two metal rods, then shocked us, then asked us for a dollar. What a great gig. Adios.

About March 2003

This page contains all entries posted to Teddy Bloggie Blog Blogging in March 2003. They are listed from oldest to newest.

February 2003 is the previous archive.

April 2003 is the next archive.

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